BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Utah St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  171.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2018 Away    L   159.13  31  38   1A  35 (  7-  5) Michigan St           -12.39      5.39                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   175.02  60  13   1A 126 (  3-  9) New Mexico St           3.49 *   43.51                      
  3 09/13/2018 Home    W   165.56  73  12   1B 113 (  1- 10) Tennessee Tech         -5.97 *   66.97                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    W * 163.77  42  32   1A  65 (  5-  7) Air Force              -7.76     17.76                      
  5 10/05/2018 Away    W   184.93  45  20   1A  57 (  6-  6) Brigham Young          13.40     11.60                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    W * 170.11  59  28   1A 108 (  4-  8) UNLV                   -1.42 *   32.42                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    W * 163.57  24  16   1A  78 (  6-  6) Wyoming                -7.95     15.95                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    W * 181.90  61  19   1A 104 (  3-  9) New Mexico             10.38     31.62                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    W * 187.12  56  17   1A  99 (  8-  5) Hawaii                 15.60     23.40                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    W * 177.09  62  24   1A 111 (  1- 11) San Jose St             5.56 *   32.44                      
 11 11/17/2018 Away    W * 148.01  29  24   1A 109 (  3-  9) Colorado St           -23.51     28.51                      
 12 11/24/2018 Away    L * 161.49  24  33   1A  25 ( 10-  3) Boise St              -10.04      1.04                      
 13 12/15/2018 Neutral W   192.15  52  13   1A  80 (  9-  4) North Texas            20.62     18.38                      
      Averages             171.53  47.5 22.2

Best game:  192.15 = 39 point win over North Texas
Worst game: 148.01 = 5 point win over Colorado St
Team stdev:  12.80